Carlos Alcaraz is Andy Murray’s big favourite to win the ATP Finals title, which takes place in Turin this week. The former world number one praised the impressive form of the Spanish player, who arrives at the event after winning two indoor tournaments in recent weeks.
Alcaraz, who has already won all four Grand Slam titles, is still chasing the ATP Finals crown after losing the final to Jannik Sinner in 2025. This year Sinner will not take part in the tournament because of injury, which means Alcaraz and world number one Alexander Zverev are seen as the main contenders for the title. Zverev has a solid record at the ATP Finals, having won the tournament in 2018 and 2021, and has a stronger career record on indoor hard courts than Alcaraz.
Alcaraz recently stood out by winning the ATP 500 event in Vienna and then the Paris Masters, where he saved two match points in his semi-final against Taylor Fritz before beating Ben Shelton in the final. Before those victories, the young Spaniard had only one indoor title in his career, won at the Rotterdam Open in February 2025. On a run of nine consecutive wins, Alcaraz arrives in excellent form ahead of the tournament.
In an interview on The Set, Murray expressed his confidence in Alcaraz, saying the player’s freshness could be an advantage. “I would back Alcaraz to win, although I think Zverev is quite close because of the surface there. I don’t think Alcaraz has played his best tennis there over the years. It’s always a bit quicker in Turin and I don’t think it’s his favourite surface. But he has been playing very well in recent weeks, winning in Paris and Vienna. I also think he is fresh. He missed a large part of the year through injury, while many of the other players competed for 11 months. I think he comes in a bit fresher than the others.”
Alcaraz will begin his ATP Finals campaign on Monday as the second seed, behind Zverev. The Spaniard is in the Ivan Lendl Group and will face seventh seed Frances Tiafoe, who is making his ATP Finals debut. Alcaraz will also take on fourth seed Daniil Medvedev and sixth seed Flavio Cobolli in the round-robin stage, with two players going through to the semi-finals on Saturday.
If the 23-year-old wins in Turin, he will become only the fourth man in history to win all four Grand Slam titles and the ATP Finals, joining greats such as Andre Agassi, Roger Federer and Novak Djokovic.
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